Thursday, January 15, 2015

Fanduel picks for 1/15/15

Today is a short slate so it is difficult.  Essentially, whether you cash is if you can choose correctly between LeBron, Durant, Westbrook and Harden, and maybe Irving or Howard.  Its hard to say who among those is going to break out, I could be swayed either way.  A couple things do not fear Beverly's defense anymore, Oladipo just put up a 50 spot against the alleged stopper. 

Now one strategy I would advocate for making money on this slate, is play a lot of three man, head to head and 50/50 slate, and fade the Knicks/Bucks.  Anthony and Stoudamaire are going to try and play, some players may not know and load up on cheap knicks who may not play or get enough minutes to reach value.  The same strategy for the Bucks with Ilsarov going to play.  If you play enough games you should be able to double up assuming the Knicks/Bucks does not go into double overtime.  The only playable player in that game is Brandon Knight at 7200.

As for the late games cheapies are hard to come by.  Beverly is almost a must play at 5600.  If Kobe is out (which we will not know by 3) then Lin becomes an option.  At SG I am paying up for Harden on all my teams, I would consider possibly punting the last position with Nick Young at 4400.  Fade JR Smith and Waiters, one may go off but the chances of both doing nothing are also fairly high.

At SF you need to have Durant or James, you cannot fade both.  An interesting strategy would be to play both.  As for the other, Ariza if you can swing it.  I do not hate Wesley Johnson.  Power Forward of the 5,000 - 6,000 gap Montejuntas is by far the best play, and after that Boozer.  Center play Mozgov at 4500 and forget his last outing when he scored a whole 5 points.  If you want to be different have a tournament team where you play Howard and if he goes off you get all the monies.  Word of warning is Perkins and Adams will be guarding neither are slouches and Perkins earned his rep on his defense of Howard.

Thursday, January 8, 2015

Fanduel NBA picks for 1/8/14

Well, it is a short slate and a fascinating short slate at that.  What is unique as all three of these games could be blowouts.  Houston is going to destroy the Knicks.  Trail Blazers and Raptors both have the ability to destroy the Heat and Hornets.  So where do we go for selections today.  The key to winning tournaments this week is choosing the correct Knick, who will it be? I am learning to Early, this is going to be a blowout he may see over thirty minutes.  Also, a lot of people played him yesterday and got burned so they will not be on him and he is minimum salary.  Acy had one great game, Aldrich is high risk of foul trouble against Howard and Harden.  Hardaway will be guarded by Ariza and Brewer.  Calderon gets Beverly.  In other words all their matchups suck, they may get only 70 points go cheap with Early, because everyone has a bad matchup.  I also do not hate Jason Smith, he has the best matchup of all the Rockets but he is still Jason Smith.

Now onto the Studs we have Lillard, Aldridge, Lowery, Howard, Wade, Bosh, Walker or Harden.  I love Aldridge against the Heat, the Heat get destroyed by the Knicks and the Heat could stick around.  Wade is interesting he is playing up in pace and Wesley Matthews might be out.  Lillard against Chlamers is tasty.

Between Harden and Howard I like Howard but I really am avoiding them because I could see this being a thirty forty point blow out and them getting three quarters, with McHale limiting minutes during the game. With Lowery you have to be careful if DeRozan is back you cannot pay his 9800 salary.  I like Kemba a lot because the Raptors are horrible defensively, and he has incredible usage.  The one caveat they played last night, while the Raptors rested and waited.  But saddle up Henderon at 4900 or take a flier on Neal at 3600, or Kidd Gilchrist at 5300.  Be very careful with Zeller he can have games where he scores lie zero points.
If DeRozan is back avoid all the Raptors, there will be two usable games but it is impossible to figure out who it will be.  Batum if Matthews is out is interesting.  If Freeland is out Kaman and Meyers Leonard become very interesting.